Javonte Williams

Dallas Cowboys · RB · #33

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under17.5

Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1153 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs LAC, 2025-12-21: 9, hit, 9 carries
at WSH, 2025-12-25: 13, hit, 13 carries
at NYG, 2026-09-13: 12, hit, 12 carries
vs WSH, 2026-09-20: 12, hit, 12 carries
vs BAL, 2026-09-27: 19, missed, 19 carries
at HOU, 2026-10-04: 19, missed, 19 carries
vs TB, 2026-10-08: 12, hit, 12 carries
at GB, 2026-10-18: 11, hit, 11 carries
at PHI, 2026-10-26: 25, missed, 25 carries
vs ARI, 2026-11-01: 24, missed, 24 carries

Under hitMissedThe 17.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 7.3–22 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs running backs
IND allow 22.1 carries a game to running backs: 18th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 20 carries · 2026: 16.8 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ARI
Game lines
DAL −5.5 · total 51.5 (7 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 50.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against IND in his last 10; Under 17.5 hit in 1 of 1 against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs IND

Rushing Attempts: 6 in 6 carries, Dec 15, 2024 (home)

Under 17.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against IND on record

L10 · Under 17.5

Average: 15.6; −1.9 vs line
Median: 12.5; −5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −120

Research, not a pick. At −115 the price beats our fair −120, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14303 books	—	2/10
−5003 books	—	6/10
−2403 books	—	6/10
−1253 books	−1151 book	6/10
+1453 books	—	8/10
+2553 books	—	8/10
+4303 books	—	8/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 17.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 17.5	Under 17.5
betPARX10 min ago	−125Best	−115Best
Bally Bet10 min ago	−125Best	—
BetRivers10 min ago	−125Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:52 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

17.5

−122 → −115 since first seen