Javonte Williams

Dallas Cowboys · RB · #33

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under80.5

Under 80.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1183 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 80.5 Rush+Rec Yards hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs LAC, 2025-12-21: 43, hit, 12 carries + targets
at WSH, 2025-12-25: 54, hit, 15 carries + targets
at NYG, 2026-09-13: 72, hit, 17 carries + targets
vs WSH, 2026-09-20: 50, hit, 16 carries + targets
vs BAL, 2026-09-27: 103, missed, 22 carries + targets
at HOU, 2026-10-04: 83, missed, 24 carries + targets
vs TB, 2026-10-08: 62, hit, 15 carries + targets
at GB, 2026-10-18: 50, hit, 13 carries + targets
at PHI, 2026-10-26: 155, missed, 25 carries + targets
vs ARI, 2026-11-01: 57, hit, 26 carries + targets

Under hitMissedThe 80.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 23–114.2 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 80.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs running backs
IND allow 146.3 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 5th most of 32
8 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 21.3 carries + targets · 2026: 19.8 (8 games)
Target share: 5% last 2 games · 9% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ARI
Game lines
DAL −5.5 · total 51.5 (7 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 50.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 80.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against IND in his last 10; Under 80.5 hit in 1 of 1 against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs IND

Rush+Rec Yards: 23 in 9 carries + targets, Dec 15, 2024 (home)

Under 80.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against IND on record

L10 · Under 80.5

Average: 72.9; −7.6 vs line
Median: 59.5; −21 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2053 books	—	6/10
−1273 books	—	7/10
−1223 books	−1182 books	7/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	8/10
−1101 book	−1201 book	8/10
+1203 books	—	8/10
+1753 books	—	8/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 80.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 80.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 80.5	Under 80.5
betPARX11 min ago	−122Best	−118Best
BetRivers11 min ago	−122Best	−118Best
Bally Bet11 min ago	−122Best	—

Prices as of 9:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

80.5

81.5 → 80.5 since first seen