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Javonte Williams

Dallas Cowboys · RB · #33

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder7.5
Over 7.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1276 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 7.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 7.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

  1. at DET, 2025-12-04: 0, missed, 4 targets
  2. vs LAC, 2025-12-21: 9, cleared, 3 targets
  3. at WSH, 2025-12-25: 0, missed, 2 targets
  4. at NYG, 2026-09-13: 31, cleared, 5 targets
  5. vs WSH, 2026-09-20: 20, cleared, 4 targets
  6. vs BAL, 2026-09-27: 5, missed, 3 targets
  7. at HOU, 2026-10-04: 21, cleared, 5 targets
  8. vs TB, 2026-10-08: 17, cleared, 3 targets
  9. at GB, 2026-10-18: 9, cleared, 2 targets
  10. vs ARI, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 7.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunTargets

    Last 3: 2.3 targets · 2026: 3.4 (7 games) · down 32%

    Target share: 6% last 3 games · 9% over 7 games this season

  • Defense vs running backs

    IND allow 42.9 receiving yards a game to running backs: 6th most of 32

    8 games

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs ARI

  • Game lines

    DAL −5.5 · total 51.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    DAL's games this season closed at 50.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against IND in his last 10; Over 7.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs IND

Receiving Yards: 8 in 3 targets, Dec 15, 2024 (home)

Over 7.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against IND on record

L10 · Over 7.5

Average
11.3
+3.8 vs line
Median
9
+1.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
56%
at −127
Books’ fair
52%
margin removed
Targets
3.3
10 games · 3.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 52%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2051 book—7/10
−1276 books−1105 books6/10
pick'em onlypick'em only6/10
+1164 books—4/10
+1741 book—4/10
+2701 book—3/10
+4001 book—1/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 7.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 7.5Under 7.5
Bovada1 min ago−120Best−110
Bally Bet1 min ago−127—
betPARX3 min ago−127−113
BetRivers3 min ago−127−113
FanDuel2 min ago−128−102Best
Pinnacle1 min ago−128−102Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

6.5 → 7.5 since first seen

Javonte Williams's full game log and splits