Jameson Williams
DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 52.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 52.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 22.3–88.7 receiving yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 52.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs wide receivers
MIA allow 121.3 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 29th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 6.3 targets · 2026: 6.3 (7 games)
Target share: 22% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN
Game lines
DET −7 · total 50 (8 sportsbooks)
DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 52.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 52.5
- Average
- 61.8
- +9.3 vs line
- Median
- 59.5
- +7 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −104
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −104, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4354 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2254 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1344 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1156 books | −1145 books | 5/10 | |
| +1184 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +1754 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2554 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 52.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 52.5 | Under 52.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel6 min ago | −114Best | −114 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −115 | — |
| betPARX7 min ago | −115 | −113Best |
| Bovada6 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −117 | −114 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
52.5−114 → −115 since first seen