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James Cook III

Buffalo Bills · RB · #4

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder10.5
Over 10.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1202 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 10.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 10.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs PHI, 2025-12-28: 3, missed, 4 targets
  2. at JAX, 2026-01-11: 5, missed, 3 targets
  3. at DEN, 2026-01-17: 24, cleared, 3 targets
  4. at HOU, 2026-09-13: 12, cleared, 4 targets
  5. vs DET, 2026-09-17: 4, missed, 3 targets
  6. vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 1 targets
  7. vs NE, 2026-10-04: 8, missed, 2 targets
  8. at LAR, 2026-10-12: 7, missed, 1 targets
  9. at LV, 2026-10-18: 58, cleared, 3 targets
  10. vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 21, cleared, 3 targets
ClearedMissedThe 10.5 lineTargets

What's different on Monday

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • MonDefense vs running backs

    MIN allow 18.4 receiving yards a game to running backs: 30th most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 2.3 targets · 2026: 2.4 (7 games)

    Target share: 8% last 3 games · 8% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL

  • Game lines

    BUF −3 · total 44.5 (9 sportsbooks)

    BUF's games this season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 10.5

Average
14.2
+3.7 vs line
Median
7.5
−3 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
55%
at −120
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Targets
2.7
10 games · 2.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2901 book—7/10
−1434 books—4/10
−1202 books−1142 books4/10
−1103 books−1202 books4/10
−1102 books−1812 books3/10
+1421 book—3/10
+2154 books—3/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 10.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 10.5Under 10.5
FanDuel6 min ago−114Best−114
Bovada6 min ago−120−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:28 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

12.5 → 10.5 since first seen

James Cook III's full game log and splits