Jalen Coker

Carolina Panthers · WR · #18

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Under 4.5 Receptions, typical price −1546 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 4.5 Receptions hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

vs SEA, 2025-12-28: 2, hit, 2 targets
at TB, 2026-01-03: 6, missed, 7 targets
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 9, missed, 12 targets
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 8, missed, 9 targets
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 8, missed, 9 targets
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 2, hit, 4 targets
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 6, missed, 13 targets
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 1, hit, 4 targets
at GB, 2026-10-29: 2, hit, 5 targets
vs DEN, 2026-11-08: 4, hit, 5 targets

Under hitMissedThe 4.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1–6 receptions.

What's different on Sunday

Under 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunTargets
Last 3: 4.7 targets · 2026: 7 (7 games) · down 33%
Target share: 13% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season
Quarterback
Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Under 4.5 with Young at quarterback: 19 of 25; with another CAR quarterback: 5 of 5
Defense vs wide receivers
NO allow 10.9 receptions a game to wide receivers: 17th most of 32
8 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN

Splits

Under 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 10; Under 4.5 hit in 3 of 3 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NO

Receptions: 4 in 4 targets, Dec 14, 2025 (away)

Under 4.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against NO on record

L10 · Under 4.5

Average: 4.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 5; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −154
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −150

Research, not a pick. At −145 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −150, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20003 books	—	1/10
−5304 books	—	4/10
−2054 books	—	4/10
+1026 books	−1544 books	5/10
+1954 books	—	5/10
+3504 books	—	7/10
+5754 books	—	7/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Bovada3 min ago	+110	−145Best
betPARX3 min ago	+102	−148
FanDuel3 min ago	+116Best	−154
Pinnacle3 min ago	+116Best	−154
Bally Bet3 min ago	+102	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+102	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Under: −135 → −154 since first seen