Jalen Coker

Carolina Panthers · WR · #18

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under44.5

Under 44.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1153 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 44.5 Receiving Yards hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

vs SEA, 2025-12-28: 16, hit, 2 targets
at TB, 2026-01-03: 47, missed, 7 targets
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 134, missed, 12 targets
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 138, missed, 9 targets
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 66, missed, 9 targets
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 18, hit, 4 targets
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 97, missed, 13 targets
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 9, hit, 4 targets
at GB, 2026-10-29: 36, hit, 5 targets
vs DEN, 2026-11-08: 29, hit, 5 targets

Under hitMissedThe 44.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–108.7 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 44.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunTargets
Last 3: 4.7 targets · 2026: 7 (7 games) · down 33%
Target share: 13% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season
Quarterback
Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Under 44.5 with Young at quarterback: 13 of 25; with another CAR quarterback: 4 of 5
Defense vs wide receivers
NO allow 153.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 13th most of 32
8 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN

Splits

Under 44.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 10; Under 44.5 hit in 2 of 3 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NO

Receiving Yards: 60 in 4 targets, Dec 14, 2025 (away)

Under 44.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NO on record

L10 · Under 44.5

Average: 59; +14.5 vs line
Median: 41.5; −3 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 51%; estimate · fair −105

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −105, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4201 book	—	3/10
−2801 book	—	4/10
−1624 books	—	5/10
−1153 books	−1153 books	5/10
−1203 books	−1212 books	5/10
+1004 books	—	6/10
+1554 books	—	6/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 44.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 44.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 44.5	Under 44.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Bovada5 min ago	−115	−115
Pinnacle5 min ago	−115	−115
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

44.5

50.5 → 44.5 since first seen