Jahan Dotson
CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
What's different tonight
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Michael Penix Jr. led ATL in passing in 6 of 8 games this season
Also led: Cooper Rush 2. Over 1.5 with Penix at quarterback: 4 of 6; with another ATL quarterback: 1 of 2
New team
8 games with ATL; before that, PHI
Over 1.5 with ATL: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 3 of 10
Defense vs wide receivers
CIN allow 11.1 receptions a game to wide receivers: 15th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 4.3 targets · 2026: 3.8 (8 games)
Target share: 14% last 3 games · 13% over 8 games this season
Game log against Over 1.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 68%
- at −210
- Books’ fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 3.9
- 10 games · 2.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 60%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8501 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −2105 books | +1403 books | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 2/10 | |
| +1384 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +3254 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +11001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel4 min ago | −162Best | +122 |
| Bovada4 min ago | −190 | +145Best |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −210 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −210 | +140 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −210 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5−154 → −210 since first seen