Jadarian Price

Seattle Seahawks · RB · #8

SEA @ LV · Sun, Nov 15 4:05 PM

Over Under43.5

Under 43.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1145 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%3 of 5L5

Under 43.5 Rushing Yards hit in 3 of his last 5 games (1 of 2 on the road).

vs NE, 2026-09-09: 52, missed, 10 carries
at ARI, 2026-09-20: 52, missed, 13 carries
at WSH, 2026-09-27: 15, hit, 5 carries
vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 29, hit, 10 carries
vs ARI, 2026-11-08: 24, hit, 9 carries

Under hitMissedThe 43.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 6–62.4 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 43.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his last 3 came with Sam Darnold at quarterback; Darnold is out on Sunday. Without him (SEA): Under 43.5 in 1 of 3.

SunQuarterback
Sam Darnold: Out (quadriceps). He led SEA in passing in 6 of 9 games this season
Also led: Drew Lock 3 (Questionable, oblique, led the last game). Under 43.5 with Darnold at quarterback: 2 of 2; with another SEA quarterback: 1 of 3
SunBack from an absence
Sunday's game is his 3rd back after missing 4 games in a row (Oct 4 – Oct 25)
Under 43.5 since: 2 of 2
SunDefense vs running backs
LV allow 132.1 rushing yards a game to running backs: the most of 32
9 games
Carries
Last 3: 8 carries · 2026: 9.4 (5 games)

Splits

Under 43.5 · L5 · counts, not in order

No game against LV on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L5 · Under 43.5

Average: 34.4; −9.1 vs line
Median: 29; −14.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 3 of 5
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −144

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −144, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L5

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L5
−3604 books	—	3/5
−1524 books	—	3/5
—	—	3/5
−1145 books	−1144 books	3/5
−1101 book	−1201 book	3/5
+1284 books	—	3/5
+2254 books	—	5/5

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 43.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 43.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 43.5	Under 43.5
betPARX5 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
FanDuel5 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle5 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−115	−115
Bally Bet5 min ago	−114Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

43.5

No move since first seen