Jacoby Brissett

Baltimore Ravens · QB · #11

LAC @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 8:15 PM

Over Under30.5

Over 30.5 Passing Attempts, typical price −1213 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 30.5 Passing Attempts cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

at CIN, 2025-12-28: 37, cleared, 37 attempts
at LAR, 2026-01-04: 31, cleared, 31 attempts
at LAC, 2026-09-13: 37, cleared, 37 attempts
vs SEA, 2026-09-20: 28, missed, 28 attempts
at SF, 2026-09-27: 52, cleared, 52 attempts
at NYG, 2026-10-04: 35, cleared, 35 attempts
vs DET, 2026-10-11: 47, cleared, 47 attempts
at LAR, 2026-10-18: 35, cleared, 35 attempts
vs DEN, 2026-10-25: 48, cleared, 48 attempts
at DAL, 2026-11-01: 23, missed, 23 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 30.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Monday's game: a typical game lands 23.7–49.7 passing attempts.

What's different on Monday

Over 30.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 8 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came before Brissett joined BAL. With BAL: Over 30.5 in no games.

MonNew team
Brissett's first game with BAL; before that, ARI
his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Defense vs quarterbacks
LAC allow 29.1 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 29th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 35.3 attempts · 2026: 38.1 (8 games)
Rest
10 days off since Nov 5 vs JAX
Brissett sat the last game (Nov 5)

Splits

Over 30.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Passing Attempts: 37 in 37 attempts, Sep 13 (away)

Over 30.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 30.5

Average: 37.3; +6.8 vs line
Median: 36; +5.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −121
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −160

Research, not a pick. At −121 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −160, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5603 books	—	9/10
−2863 books	—	9/10
−1573 books	—	8/10
−1213 books	−1092 books	8/10
+1073 books	—	7/10
+1703 books	—	7/10
+2603 books	—	5/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 30.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 30.5 Passing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 30.5	Under 30.5
Bally Bet15 min ago	−121Best	—
betPARX15 min ago	−121Best	−108Best
BetRivers15 min ago	−122	−109
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:22 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

30.5

No move since first seen