Jacoby Brissett
LAC @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 8:15 PMGame log against Over 19.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 19.5 Completions cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).
Our model's range for Monday's game: a typical game lands 12.5–34 completions.
What's different on Monday
Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pickAll 8 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came before Brissett joined BAL. With BAL: Over 19.5 in no games.
MonNew team
Brissett's first game with BAL; before that, ARI
his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Defense vs quarterbacks
LAC allow 19.1 completions a game to quarterbacks: 28th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 35.3 attempts · 2026: 38.1 (8 games)
Rest
10 days off since Nov 5 vs JAX
Brissett sat the last game (Nov 5)
Splits
Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs LAC
Completions: 27 in 37 attempts, Sep 13 (away)
Over 19.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against LAC on record
L10 · Over 19.5
- Average
- 23.6
- +4.1 vs line
- Median
- 23
- +3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −124
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −156
Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −156, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −7703 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2863 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1243 books | −1051 book | 8/10 | |
| +1603 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +3103 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −124Best | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −124Best | −105Best |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −124Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5No move since first seen


