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Jackson Hawes

Buffalo Bills · TE · #85

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +13001 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Quarterback

    Josh Allen led BUF in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 0.5 with Allen at quarterback: 3 of 14; with another BUF quarterback: 0 of 1

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 1.3 carries + targets · 2025: 1.5 (13 games)

    Target share: 5% last 3 games · 5% over 13 games this season

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL

  • Game lines

    BUF −3 · total 45.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    BUF's games last season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games) · Hawes has 2 games this season

Game log against Over 0.5

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs KC, 2025-11-02: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
  2. at MIA, 2025-11-09: 1, cleared, 2 carries + targets
  3. at HOU, 2025-11-20: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
  4. at PIT, 2025-11-30: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
  5. vs CIN, 2025-12-07: 1, cleared, 1 carries + targets
  6. at NE, 2025-12-14: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
  7. at CLE, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
  8. vs NYJ, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
  9. vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
  10. vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10
Price implies
7%
at +1300
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
1.5
10 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+13001 bookpick'em only2/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
FanDuel2 min ago+1300Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:33 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +1200 → +1300 since first seen

Jackson Hawes's full game log and splits