J.J. McCarthy

New York Giants · QB · #18

NYG @ PHI · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under230.5

Under 230.5 Pass+Rush Yards, typical price −1173 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 230.5 Pass+Rush Yards hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs BAL, 2025-11-09: 296, missed, 47 attempts + carries
vs CHI, 2025-11-16: 150, hit, 32 attempts + carries
at GB, 2025-11-23: 97, hit, 21 attempts + carries
vs WSH, 2025-12-07: 182, hit, 29 attempts + carries
at DAL, 2025-12-14: 265, missed, 28 attempts + carries
at NYG, 2025-12-21: 128, hit, 16 attempts + carries
vs GB, 2026-01-04: 189, hit, 25 attempts + carries
at WSH, 2026-10-11: 2, hit, 2 attempts + carries
vs NO, 2026-10-18: 269, missed, 23 attempts + carries
at HOU, 2026-10-25: 253, missed, 29 attempts + carries

Under hitMissedThe 230.5 linePass attempts + carries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 88.9–294.2 pass+rush yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 230.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunNew team
3 games with NYG; before that, MIN
Under 230.5 with NYG: 1 of 3; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
SunPass attempts + carries
Last 3: 18 attempts + carries · 2025: 28 (10 games) · down 36%
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 at HOU
Game lines
NYG −3 · total 38.5 (9 sportsbooks)
NYG's games this season closed at 43.9 on average (7 games) · McCarthy has 3 games this season

Splits

Under 230.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs PHI

McCarthy didn't play the Oct 26, 2025 meeting

L10 · Under 230.5

Average: 183.1; −47.4 vs line
Median: 185.5; −45 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −142

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −142, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5903 books	—	4/10
−2863 books	—	6/10
−1343 books	—	6/10
−1133 books	−1172 books	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
+1453 books	—	6/10
+2703 books	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 230.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 230.5 Pass+Rush Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 230.5	Under 230.5
betPARX2 min ago	−113Best	−115Best
BetRiversjust now	−114	−117
Bally Bet2 min ago	−113Best	—

Prices as of 10:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

230.5

−115 → −117 since first seen