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Isaac TeSlaa

Detroit Lions · WR · #18

NE @ DET · Sun, Nov 15 9:30 AM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Receptions, typical price −1256 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

  1. vs PIT, 2025-12-21: 4, cleared, 7 targets
  2. at MIN, 2025-12-25: 3, cleared, 4 targets
  3. at CHI, 2026-01-04: 1, missed, 1 targets
  4. vs NO, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 1 targets
  5. at BUF, 2026-09-17: 2, cleared, 5 targets
  6. vs NYJ, 2026-09-27: 3, cleared, 3 targets
  7. at CAR, 2026-10-04: 4, cleared, 8 targets
  8. at ARI, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 2 targets
  9. vs GB, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 2 targets
  10. at MIA, 2026-11-08: 1, missed, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunTargets

    Last 3: 2 targets · 2026: 3.3 (7 games) · down 39%

    Target share: 7% last 3 games · 9% over 7 games this season

  • Quarterback

    Jared Goff: Questionable (chest). He led DET in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Over 1.5 with Goff at quarterback: 7 of 21; with another DET quarterback: no games

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    NE allow 12.9 receptions a game to wide receivers: 6th most of 32

    9 games

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 at MIA

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.9
+0.4 vs line
Median
1.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
56%
at −125
Books’ fair
48%
margin removed
Targets
3.5
10 games · 1.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−5001 book—8/10
−1256 books−1254 books5/10
+2304 books—4/10
+5254 books—2/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
FanDuel16 min ago−102Best−130
Bovada16 min ago−105−125
Pinnacle16 min ago−106−125
Bally Bet16 min ago−125—
betPARX16 min ago−125−117Best
BetRivers16 min ago−125—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −130 → −125 since first seen

Isaac TeSlaa's full game log and splits