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Isaac TeSlaa

Detroit Lions · WR · #18

NE @ DET · Sun, Nov 15 9:30 AM
OverUnder17.5
Over 17.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1224 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 17.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 17.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

  1. vs PIT, 2025-12-21: 52, cleared, 7 targets
  2. at MIN, 2025-12-25: 49, cleared, 4 targets
  3. at CHI, 2026-01-04: 18, cleared, 1 targets
  4. vs NO, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 1 targets
  5. at BUF, 2026-09-17: 26, cleared, 5 targets
  6. vs NYJ, 2026-09-27: 66, cleared, 3 targets
  7. at CAR, 2026-10-04: 95, cleared, 8 targets
  8. at ARI, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 2 targets
  9. vs GB, 2026-10-25: 10, missed, 2 targets
  10. at MIA, 2026-11-08: 9, missed, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 17.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunTargets

    Last 3: 2 targets · 2026: 3.3 (7 games) · down 39%

    Target share: 7% last 3 games · 9% over 7 games this season

  • Quarterback

    Jared Goff: Questionable (chest). He led DET in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Over 17.5 with Goff at quarterback: 9 of 21; with another DET quarterback: no games

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    NE allow 175.2 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 4th most of 32

    9 games

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 at MIA

Splits

Over 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 17.5

Average
32.5
+15 vs line
Median
22
+4.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
55%
at −122
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
3.5
10 games · 1.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 17.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4201 book—8/10
−2354 books—7/10
−1581 book—6/10
−1224 books−1183 books6/10
−1142 books−1142 books5/10
−1064 books—5/10
+1341 book—5/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 17.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 17.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 17.5Under 17.5
Bovada6 min ago−115Best−115Best
Bally Bet7 min ago−122—
betPARX7 min ago−122−118
BetRivers7 min ago−122−118
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

17.5

21.5 → 17.5 since first seen

Isaac TeSlaa's full game log and splits