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Isaac TeSlaa

Detroit Lions · WR · #18

DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder15.5
Over 15.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1144 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 15.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 15.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

  1. at LAR, 2025-12-14: 0, missed, 1 targets
  2. vs PIT, 2025-12-21: 52, cleared, 7 targets
  3. at MIN, 2025-12-25: 49, cleared, 4 targets
  4. at CHI, 2026-01-04: 18, cleared, 1 targets
  5. vs NO, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 1 targets
  6. at BUF, 2026-09-17: 26, cleared, 5 targets
  7. vs NYJ, 2026-09-27: 66, cleared, 3 targets
  8. at CAR, 2026-10-04: 95, cleared, 8 targets
  9. at ARI, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 2 targets
  10. vs GB, 2026-10-25: 10, missed, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 15.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs wide receivers

    MIA allow 121.3 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 29th most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 3.5 (6 games)

    Target share: 11% last 3 games · 9% over 6 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN

    TeSlaa sat the last game (Nov 1)

  • Game lines

    DET −7 · total 50 (7 sportsbooks)

    DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 15.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 15.5

Average
31.6
+16.1 vs line
Median
22
+6.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
3.4
10 games · 1.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 15.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3501 book—7/10
−2004 books—7/10
−1361 book—6/10
−1144 books−1153 books6/10
−1152 books−1152 books6/10
+1204 books—5/10
+1541 book—5/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 15.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 15.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 15.5Under 15.5
Bally Bet1 min ago−114Best—
betPARX1 min ago−114Best−114Best
BetRivers1 min ago−114Best−115
Bovada1 min ago−115−115
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

15.5

16.5 → 15.5 since first seen

Isaac TeSlaa's full game log and splits