Hunter HenryQuestionable
NE @ DET · Sun, Nov 15 9:30 AM
Game log against Over 35.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 35.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 12.6–69 receiving yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 35.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunDefense vs tight ends
DET allow 88.0 receiving yards a game to tight ends: the most of 32
8 games
Quarterback
Drake Maye led NE in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 35.5 with Maye at quarterback: 23 of 40; with another NE quarterback: 4 of 10
Targets
Last 3: 4.3 targets · 2026: 4.1 (9 games)
Target share: 14% last 3 games · 13% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs GB
Splits
Over 35.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 35.5
- Average
- 39.2
- +3.7 vs line
- Median
- 37.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 54%
- estimate · fair −116
Research, not a pick. At −114 the price beats our fair −116, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3801 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −2501 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −1721 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 5/10 | |
| +1141 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +1881 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +3001 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 35.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 35.5 | Under 35.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel9 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
35.5No move since first seen