Harold Fannin Jr.
CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Deshaun Watson led CLE in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 4.5 with Watson at quarterback: 4 of 8; with another CLE quarterback: 6 of 16
Defense vs tight ends
NO allow 6.4 receptions a game to tight ends: 6th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 8 targets · 2026: 6.4 (8 games)
Target share: 23% last 3 games · 20% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at PIT
3rd straight road game
Game log against Over 4.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Count only
Over 4.5 · L10L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 4.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 5.9
- 10 games · 6.7 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.