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Greg Dulcich

Miami Dolphins · TE · #85

MIA @ IND · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder34.5
Over 34.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 34.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 34.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs CIN, 2025-12-21: 46, cleared, 3 targets
  2. vs TB, 2025-12-28: 58, cleared, 6 targets
  3. at NE, 2026-01-04: 31, missed, 4 targets
  4. at LV, 2026-09-13: 18, missed, 2 targets
  5. at SF, 2026-09-20: 17, missed, 3 targets
  6. vs KC, 2026-09-27: 55, cleared, 7 targets
  7. vs CIN, 2026-10-11: 36, cleared, 5 targets
  8. at NYJ, 2026-10-25: 86, cleared, 5 targets
  9. vs NE, 2026-11-01: 43, cleared, 6 targets
  10. vs DET, 2026-11-08: 14, missed, 4 targets
ClearedMissedThe 34.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1.3–72.1 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 34.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • SunQuarterback

    Malik Willis: Injured Reserve (abdomen). He led MIA in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Over 34.5 with Willis at quarterback: 4 of 7; with another MIA quarterback: 5 of 9

  • Defense vs tight ends

    IND allow 50.2 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 19th most of 32

    9 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 4.6 (7 games)

    Target share: 19% last 3 games · 17% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 vs DET

Splits

Over 34.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs IND

Dulcich didn't play the Sep 7, 2025 meeting

L10 · Over 34.5

Average
40.4
+5.9 vs line
Median
39.5
+5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
51%
estimate · fair −106

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −106, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2401 book—7/10
−1621 book—7/10
——6/10
−1142 books−1142 books6/10
+1201 book—5/10
+2051 book—3/10
+3201 book—1/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 34.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 34.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 34.5Under 34.5
FanDuel4 min ago−114Best−114Best
Pinnacle5 min ago−114Best−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

34.5

No move since first seen

Greg Dulcich's full game log and splits