George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers · TE · #85

SF @ DAL · Sun, Nov 15 4:25 PM

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Receptions, typical price +1176 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Receptions cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

vs SEA, 2026-01-03: 5, missed, 7 targets
at PHI, 2026-01-11: 1, missed, 2 targets
at LAR, 2026-09-10: 2, missed, 5 targets
vs MIA, 2026-09-20: 4, missed, 4 targets
vs ARI, 2026-09-27: 6, cleared, 7 targets
vs DEN, 2026-10-04: 4, missed, 6 targets
at SEA, 2026-10-11: 5, missed, 6 targets
vs WSH, 2026-10-19: 5, missed, 8 targets
at ATL, 2026-10-25: 8, cleared, 10 targets
vs LV, 2026-11-08: 4, missed, 7 targets

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Brock Purdy led SF in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 5.5 with Purdy at quarterback: 15 of 40; with another SF quarterback: 2 of 6
Defense vs tight ends
DAL allow 5.4 receptions a game to tight ends: 15th most of 32
9 games
Targets
Last 3: 8.3 targets · 2026: 6.6 (8 games)
Target share: 27% last 3 games · 23% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs LV

Splits

Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL in his last 10; Over 5.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DAL

Receptions: 6 in 7 targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Over 5.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against DAL on record

L10 · Over 5.5

Average: 4.4; −1.1 vs line
Median: 4.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 46%; at +117
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Targets: 6.2; 10 games · 5.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−16674 books	—	8/10
−4354 books	—	8/10
−1804 books	—	5/10
+1176 books	−1584 books	2/10
+2204 books	—	1/10
+4104 books	—	1/10
+8004 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
FanDuel2 min ago	+118Best	−158
Pinnacle2 min ago	+118Best	−158
Bally Bet2 min ago	+117	—
betPARX2 min ago	+117	−152
BetRivers2 min ago	+116	—
Bovada2 min ago	+110	−145Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

Over: +106 → +117 since first seen