Geno Smith
NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightCarries
Last 3: 1.7 carries · 2026: 3.3 (7 games) · down 48%
New team
7 games with NYJ; before that, LV
Over 5.5 with NYJ: 4 of 7; his last 10 games before: 5 of 10
Defense vs quarterbacks
KC allow 16.4 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 15th most of 32
7 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs LV
Game log against Over 5.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Count only
Over 5.5 · L10Last vs KC
Rushing Yards: 1 in 2 carries, Oct 19, 2025 (away)
Over 5.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against KC on record
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 4.5
- −1 vs line
- Median
- 4
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries
- 2.7
- 10 games · 2.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.52.5 → 5.5 since we started recording it