Geno Smith

New York Jets · QB · #7

BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under220.5

Over 220.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1152 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 220.5 Passing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs NYG, 2025-12-28: 176, missed, 28 attempts
at TEN, 2026-09-13: 215, missed, 24 attempts
vs GB, 2026-09-20: 247, cleared, 41 attempts
at DET, 2026-09-27: 321, cleared, 37 attempts
at CHI, 2026-10-04: 119, missed, 15 attempts
vs CLE, 2026-10-11: 182, missed, 30 attempts
at NE, 2026-10-18: 252, cleared, 30 attempts
vs MIA, 2026-10-25: 287, cleared, 30 attempts
vs LV, 2026-11-01: 290, cleared, 32 attempts
at KC, 2026-11-08: 165, missed, 32 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 220.5 linePass attempts

What's different on Sunday

Over 220.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
9 games with NYJ; before that, LV
Over 220.5 with NYJ: 5 of 9; his last 10 games before: 3 of 10
Defense vs quarterbacks
BUF allow 252.8 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 6th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 31.3 attempts · 2026: 30.1 (9 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at KC

Splits

Over 220.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 220.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs BUF

Smith didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; passing yards the last time Smith faced them: 212 (Oct 27, 2024)

Over 220.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 220.5

Average: 225.4; +4.9 vs line
Median: 231; +10.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Pass attempts: 29.9; 10 games · 29.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 220.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2004 books	—	6/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	5/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	5/10
−1152 books	−1152 books	5/10
−1133 books	−1172 books	5/10
−1054 books	—	5/10
+1704 books	—	4/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 220.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 220.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 220.5	Under 220.5
Pinnacle3 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Bovada2 min ago	−115	−115
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

220.5

No move since first seen