Geno Smith
BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickNew team
9 games with NYJ; before that, LV
Over 1.5 with NYJ: 3 of 9; his last 10 games before: 3 of 10
Defense vs quarterbacks
BUF allow 1.88 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 6th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 31.3 attempts · 2026: 30.1 (9 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at KC
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs BUF
Smith didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; passing tds the last time Smith faced them: 0 (Oct 27, 2024)
Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against BUF on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 38%
- at +162
- Books’ fair
- 36%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 29.9
- 10 games · 29.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 36%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3454 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +1626 books | −2205 books | 3/10 | |
| +6504 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle2 min ago | +166Best | −227 |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | +163 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | +163 | −220 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +162 | −220 |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +160 | −225 |
| Bovada2 min ago | +160 | −215Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: +135 → +162 since first seen