Garrett Wilson
NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Geno Smith led NYJ in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 4.5 with Smith at quarterback: 5 of 8; with another NYJ quarterback: 23 of 34
Defense vs wide receivers
KC allow 10.1 receptions a game to wide receivers: 23rd most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 7 targets · 2026: 7.9 (8 games)
Target share: 23% last 3 games · 26% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs LV
Game log against Over 4.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Splits
Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 4.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 4.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 2 pick'em apps, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 7.4
- 10 games · 8.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 2 pick'em apps (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 |
Compare 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.