Evan Engram
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Bo Nix led DEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 1.5 with Nix at quarterback: 16 of 25; with another DEN quarterback: 1 of 1
Defense vs tight ends
CAR allow 4.9 receptions a game to tight ends: 22nd most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 3.1 (8 games)
Target share: 9% last 3 games · 10% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game log against Over 1.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Count only
Over 1.5 · L10Last vs CAR
Receptions: 6 in 6 targets, Dec 31, 2023 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 67%
- at −200
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 3.1
- 10 games · 4.6 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 61%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12503 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −2004 books | +1422 books | 4/10 | |
| +1603 books | pick'em only | 2/10 | |
| +4103 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +10503 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada5 min ago | −180Best | +135 |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −200 | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −200 | +150Best |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −200 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.52.5 → 1.5 since first seen