Evan Engram

Denver Broncos · TE · #1

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under18.5

Over 18.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1184 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Bo Nix led DEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 18.5 with Nix at quarterback: 13 of 25; with another DEN quarterback: 1 of 1
Defense vs tight ends
CAR allow 47.3 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 21st most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 3.1 (8 games)
Target share: 9% last 3 games · 10% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC

30%3 of 10L10

Over 18.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs BUF, 2026-01-17: 7, missed, 3 targets
vs NE, 2026-01-25: 19, cleared, 3 targets
at KC, 2026-09-14: 43, cleared, 5 targets
vs JAX, 2026-09-20: 17, missed, 1 targets
vs LAR, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 2 targets
at SF, 2026-10-04: 6, missed, 5 targets
at LAC, 2026-10-11: 55, cleared, 4 targets
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 13, missed, 2 targets
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 3 targets
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 18.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 18.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Receiving Yards: 60 in 6 targets, Dec 31, 2023 (home)

Over 18.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 18.5

Average: 16.2; −2.3 vs line
Median: 10; −8.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Targets: 3.1; 10 games · 4.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2864 books	—	5/10
−1721 book	—	4/10
−1201 book	−1101 book	3/10
−1184 books	−1123 books	3/10
−1094 books	—	2/10
+1421 book	—	2/10
+1804 books	—	2/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 18.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 18.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 18.5	Under 18.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet3 min ago	−118	—
betPARX3 min ago	−118	−110Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−120	−112
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

18.5

−114 → −118 since first seen