Emmett Johnson
NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 11.5
80%4 of 5L5
Over 11.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 5 games (2 of 3 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs running backs
NYJ allow 104.8 rushing yards a game to running backs: 10th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 3.3 carries · 2026: 4 (5 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN
Game lines
KC −10 · total 47.5 (8 sportsbooks)
KC's games this season closed at 44.1 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 11.5 · L5 · counts, not in orderNo game against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L5 · Over 11.5
- Average
- 15.4
- +3.9 vs line
- Median
- 15
- +3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 4 of 5
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 4
- 5 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L5| Line | Over | Under | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3901 book | — | 5/5 | |
| −1954 books | — | 4/5 | |
| −1152 books | −1152 books | 4/5 | |
| −1083 books | −1222 books | 4/5 | |
| +1281 book | — | 4/5 | |
| +1854 books | — | 1/5 | |
| +3201 book | — | 0/5 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bovada5 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.513.5 → 11.5 since first seen