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Emmett Johnson

Kansas City Chiefs · RB · #10

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder14.5
Over 14.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1204 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 14.5

83%5 of 6L6

Over 14.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 6 games (3 of 3 at home).

  1. vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 44, cleared, 2 targets
  2. vs IND, 2026-09-20: 20, cleared, 2 targets
  3. at LV, 2026-10-04: 10, missed, 1 targets
  4. vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 18, cleared, 3 targets
  5. at SEA, 2026-10-25: 17, cleared, 3 targets
  6. at DEN, 2026-11-01: 128, cleared, 5 targets
ClearedMissedThe 14.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunTargets

    Last 3: 3.7 targets · 2026: 2.7 (6 games) · up 37%

    Target share: 11% last 3 games · 8% over 6 games this season

  • Defense vs running backs

    NYJ allow 26.9 receiving yards a game to running backs: 24th most of 32

    8 games

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN

  • Game lines

    KC −10 · total 47 (7 sportsbooks)

    KC's games this season closed at 44.1 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 14.5 · L6 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L6 · Over 14.5

Average
39.5
+25 vs line
Median
19
+4.5 vs line
Hit rate
83%
5 of 6
Price implies
55%
at −120
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Targets
2.7
6 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 14.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L6
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL6
−4701 book—6/6
−2204 books—6/6
−1151 book−1151 book5/6
−1204 books−1122 books5/6
−1141 book−1141 book5/6
+1404 books—3/6
+1881 book—2/6
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 14.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 14.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 14.5Under 14.5
Bally Bet5 min ago−118Best—
betPARX5 min ago−118Best−110Best
BetRivers5 min ago−120−112
FanDuel5 min ago−130—

Prices as of 9:01 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

14.5

15.5 → 14.5 since first seen

Emmett Johnson's full game log and splits