Dylan Sampson
HOU @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 43.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 43.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 43.5 · facts from past games, not a pick2 of his last 4 came with Deshaun Watson at quarterback; Watson is out on Sunday. Without him (CLE): Over 43.5 in 5 of 16.
SunQuarterback
Deshaun Watson: Out. He led CLE in passing in 8 of 9 games this season
Also led: Shedeur Sanders 1 (led the last game). Over 43.5 with Watson at quarterback: 2 of 2; with another CLE quarterback: 5 of 16
SunCarries + targets
Last 3: 10.7 carries + targets · 2025: 7 (15 games) · up 53%
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 16% over 3 games this season
Back from an absence
Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 6 games in a row (Sep 13 – Oct 18)
Over 43.5 since: 3 of 3
Defense vs running backs
HOU allow 118.0 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 20th most of 32
8 games
Splits
Over 43.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 43.5
- Average
- 45.6
- +2.1 vs line
- Median
- 46
- +2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries + targets
- 8.6
- 10 games · 7 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 43.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5903 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1153 books | −1142 books | 6/10 | |
| −1201 book | −1101 book | 5/10 | |
| +1303 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 43.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 43.5 | Under 43.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet18 min ago | −115Best | — |
| betPARX18 min ago | −115Best | −113Best |
| BetRivers18 min ago | −117 | −114 |
Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
43.544.5 → 43.5 since first seen