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Dylan Sampson

Cleveland Browns · RB · #22

CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder30.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 30.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

1 of his last 3 came before Sampson missed 6 games. Since he came back: Over 30.5 in 2 of 2.

  • TonightBack from an absence

    Tonight is his 3rd game back after missing 6 games in a row (Sep 13 – Oct 18)

    Over 30.5 since: 2 of 2

  • TonightDefense vs running backs

    NO allow 158.1 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 2nd most of 32

    7 games

  • TonightCarries + targets

    Last 3: 10.3 carries + targets · 2025: 7 (15 games) · up 47%

    Target share: 14% last 3 games · 9% over 13 games this season

  • Quarterback

    Deshaun Watson led CLE in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Over 30.5 with Watson at quarterback: 2 of 2; with another CLE quarterback: 4 of 15

Game log against Over 30.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 30.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

  1. at NE, 2025-10-26: 29, missed, 9 carries + targets
  2. at NYJ, 2025-11-09: -1, missed, 3 carries + targets
  3. vs BAL, 2025-11-16: 19, missed, 2 carries + targets
  4. at LV, 2025-11-23: 82, cleared, 10 carries + targets
  5. vs SF, 2025-11-30: 23, missed, 4 carries + targets
  6. vs TEN, 2025-12-07: 68, cleared, 8 carries + targets
  7. vs PIT, 2025-12-28: 27, missed, 14 carries + targets
  8. at CIN, 2026-01-04: 44, cleared, 13 carries + targets
  9. at TEN, 2026-10-25: 77, cleared, 9 carries + targets
  10. at PIT, 2026-11-01: 69, cleared, 9 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 30.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 30.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 30.5

Average
43.7
+13.2 vs line
Median
36.5
+6 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
8.1
10 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only5/10
Compare 1 pick'em app at 30.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 30.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 30.5Under 30.5
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

30.5

31.5 → 30.5 since we started recording it

Dylan Sampson's full game log and splits