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Dylan Sampson

Cleveland Browns · RB · #22

HOU @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Receptions, typical price +1026 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 3.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

  1. at NE, 2025-10-26: 5, cleared, 6 targets
  2. at NYJ, 2025-11-09: 1, missed, 1 targets
  3. vs BAL, 2025-11-16: 0, missed, 1 targets
  4. at LV, 2025-11-23: 2, missed, 3 targets
  5. vs TEN, 2025-12-07: 5, cleared, 6 targets
  6. vs PIT, 2025-12-28: 3, missed, 3 targets
  7. at CIN, 2026-01-04: 2, missed, 3 targets
  8. at TEN, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 3 targets
  9. at PIT, 2026-11-01: 6, cleared, 8 targets
  10. at NO, 2026-11-08: 3, missed, 6 targets
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunQuarterback

    Deshaun Watson: Out. He led CLE in passing in 8 of 9 games this season

    Also led: Shedeur Sanders 1 (led the last game). Over 3.5 with Watson at quarterback: 1 of 2; with another CLE quarterback: 3 of 14

  • SunTargets

    Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2025: 3.1 (13 games) · up 84%

    Target share: 16% last 3 games · 16% over 3 games this season

  • Back from an absence

    Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 6 games in a row (Sep 13 – Oct 18)

    Over 3.5 since: 1 of 3

  • Defense vs running backs

    HOU allow 4.6 receptions a game to running backs: 12th most of 32

    8 games

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
3
−0.5 vs line
Median
3
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
50%
at +102
Books’ fair
45%
margin removed
Targets
4
10 games · 3.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−9104 books—8/10
−2504 books—6/10
+1026 books−1484 books3/10
+2204 books—3/10
+4604 books—1/10
+9504 books—0/10
+12001 book—0/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
FanDuel15 min ago+114Best−148
Pinnacle15 min ago+114Best−148
Bovada15 min ago+110−145
Bally Bet15 min ago+102—
betPARX15 min ago+102−132Best
BetRivers15 min ago+100—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

+130 → +102 since first seen

Dylan Sampson's full game log and splits