Dylan Sampson
HOU @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PMGame log against Over 3.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunQuarterback
Deshaun Watson: Out. He led CLE in passing in 8 of 9 games this season
Also led: Shedeur Sanders 1 (led the last game). Over 3.5 with Watson at quarterback: 1 of 2; with another CLE quarterback: 3 of 14
SunTargets
Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2025: 3.1 (13 games) · up 84%
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 16% over 3 games this season
Back from an absence
Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 6 games in a row (Sep 13 – Oct 18)
Over 3.5 since: 1 of 3
Defense vs running backs
HOU allow 4.6 receptions a game to running backs: 12th most of 32
8 games
Splits
Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +102
- Books’ fair
- 45%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 4
- 10 games · 3.1 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 45%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −9104 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −2504 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +1026 books | −1484 books | 3/10 | |
| +2204 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +4604 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +9504 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +12001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel15 min ago | +114Best | −148 |
| Pinnacle15 min ago | +114Best | −148 |
| Bovada15 min ago | +110 | −145 |
| Bally Bet15 min ago | +102 | — |
| betPARX15 min ago | +102 | −132Best |
| BetRivers15 min ago | +100 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5+130 → +102 since first seen


