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Dylan Sampson

Cleveland Browns · RB · #22

HOU @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder21.5
Over 21.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 21.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 21.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

  1. at NE, 2025-10-26: 29, cleared, 6 targets
  2. at NYJ, 2025-11-09: 3, missed, 1 targets
  3. vs BAL, 2025-11-16: 0, missed, 1 targets
  4. at LV, 2025-11-23: 59, cleared, 3 targets
  5. vs TEN, 2025-12-07: 64, cleared, 6 targets
  6. vs PIT, 2025-12-28: 0, missed, 3 targets
  7. at CIN, 2026-01-04: 12, missed, 3 targets
  8. at TEN, 2026-10-25: 32, cleared, 3 targets
  9. at PIT, 2026-11-01: 62, cleared, 8 targets
  10. at NO, 2026-11-08: 27, cleared, 6 targets
ClearedMissedThe 21.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his last 3 came with Deshaun Watson at quarterback; Watson is out on Sunday. Without him (CLE): Over 21.5 in 5 of 14.

  • SunQuarterback

    Deshaun Watson: Out. He led CLE in passing in 8 of 9 games this season

    Also led: Shedeur Sanders 1 (led the last game). Over 21.5 with Watson at quarterback: 2 of 2; with another CLE quarterback: 5 of 14

  • SunTargets

    Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2025: 3.1 (13 games) · up 84%

    Target share: 16% last 3 games · 16% over 3 games this season

  • Back from an absence

    Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 6 games in a row (Sep 13 – Oct 18)

    Over 21.5 since: 3 of 3

  • Defense vs running backs

    HOU allow 23.3 receiving yards a game to running backs: 26th most of 32

    8 games

Splits

Over 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 21.5

Average
28.8
+7.3 vs line
Median
28
+6.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
4
10 games · 3.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2301 book—6/10
−1274 books—6/10
−1153 books−1142 books6/10
−1142 books−1142 books6/10
−1101 book−1201 book6/10
+1141 book—6/10
+1804 books—4/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 21.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 21.5Under 21.5
FanDuel7 min ago−114Best−114Best
Pinnacle7 min ago−114Best−114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

−110 → −114 since first seen

Dylan Sampson's full game log and splits