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Drew Sample

Cincinnati Bengals · TE · #89

CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
OverUnder4.5
Over 4.5 Receiving Yards, typical price +1001 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 4.5

80%8 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs NE, 2025-11-23: 0, missed, 1 targets
  2. at BAL, 2025-11-27: 14, cleared, 2 targets
  3. vs BAL, 2025-12-14: 12, cleared, 2 targets
  4. at MIA, 2025-12-21: 31, cleared, 2 targets
  5. vs ARI, 2025-12-28: 8, cleared, 1 targets
  6. vs CLE, 2026-01-04: 17, cleared, 3 targets
  7. vs TB, 2026-09-13: 19, cleared, 3 targets
  8. at PIT, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 2 targets
  9. at MIA, 2026-10-11: 5, cleared, 1 targets
  10. at BAL, 2026-10-25: 24, cleared, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Joe Burrow led CIN in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 4.5 with Burrow at quarterback: 18 of 23; with another CIN quarterback: 7 of 12

  • Defense vs tight ends

    ATL allow 54.9 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 15th most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 1.7 targets · 2026: 2 (4 games)

    Target share: 5% last 3 games · 6% over 4 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs TEN

    Sample sat the last game (Nov 1)

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 4.5

Average
13
+8.5 vs line
Median
13
+8.5 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
50%
at +100
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
1.9
10 games · 1.8 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1142 books−1142 books8/10
+1001 bookpick'em only8/10
+2201 book—6/10
+4001 book—4/10
+6801 book—2/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
FanDuel5 min ago+100Best—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

−128 → +100 since first seen

Drew Sample's full game log and splits