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Drake Maye

New England Patriots · QB · #10

NE @ DET · Sun, Nov 15 9:30 AM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price −1301 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs SEA, 2026-02-08: 2, cleared, 43 attempts
  2. at SEA, 2026-09-09: 1, missed, 33 attempts
  3. vs PIT, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 22 attempts
  4. at JAX, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 25 attempts
  5. at BUF, 2026-10-04: 3, cleared, 37 attempts
  6. vs LV, 2026-10-11: 4, cleared, 34 attempts
  7. vs NYJ, 2026-10-18: 3, cleared, 32 attempts
  8. at CHI, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 31 attempts
  9. at MIA, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 20 attempts
  10. vs GB, 2026-11-08: 3, cleared, 38 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunDefense vs quarterbacks

    DET allow 2.25 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: the most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 29.7 attempts · 2026: 30.2 (9 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 vs GB

  • Game lines

    NE +3 · total 50.5 (5 sportsbooks)

    NE's games this season closed at 45.2 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
2
+0.5 vs line
Median
2
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
57%
at −130
Books’ fair
53%
margin removed
Pass attempts
31.5
10 games · 29.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−8001 book—8/10
−1301 book−1021 book7/10
+2901 book—4/10
+8801 book—1/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
FanDuel1 min ago−130Best−102Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −136 → −130 since first seen

Drake Maye's full game log and splits