Drake Maye
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Over 253.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 253.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 175.7–360.9 pass+rush yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 253.5 · facts from past games, not a pickPass attempts + carries
Last 3: 33 attempts + carries · 2026: 35 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at MIA
Game lines
NE −3 · total 45.5 (8 sportsbooks)
NE's games this season closed at 45.3 on average (8 games)
GB injuries
Micah Parsons (DE, Out, 3.3 tackles); Zaire Franklin (LB, Questionable, 7.2 tackles); Keisean Nixon (CB, Questionable, 5.2 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)
Splits
Over 253.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against GB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 253.5
- Average
- 268.2
- +14.7 vs line
- Median
- 242
- −11.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −113
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −113, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6253 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2653 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1293 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1153 books | −1142 books | 5/10 | |
| — | — | 5/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 5/10 | |
| +1483 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 253.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 253.5 | Under 253.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −115Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −115Best | −113Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −117 | −114 |
Prices as of 5:26 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
253.5259.5 → 253.5 since first seen