Devaughn Vele
CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Tyler Shough led NO in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 0.5 with Shough at quarterback: 4 of 13; with another NO quarterback: 1 of 3
Carries + targets
Last 3: 5.7 carries + targets · 2026: 6.9 (7 games)
Target share: 18% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs PIT
Game lines
NO −2.5 · total 43.5 (9 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 45.5 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 0.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Count only
Over 0.5 · L10Last vs CLE
Total Touchdowns: 0 in 4 carries + targets, Dec 2, 2024 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against CLE on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 27%
- at +265
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 6.7
- 10 games · 4.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2651 book | pick'em only | 4/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada6 min ago | +265Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over +255 → +265 since first seen