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Deshaun Watson

Cleveland Browns · QB · #4

CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder23.5
—2 pick'em apps, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    NO allow 17.7 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 12th most of 32

    7 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 4.7 carries · 2026: 6.4 (8 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at PIT

    3rd straight road game

  • Game lines

    CLE +1.5 · total 43 (8 sportsbooks)

    CLE's games this season closed at 39.6 on average (8 games)

Game log against Over 23.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 23.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).

  1. at PHI, 2024-10-13: 17, missed, 4 carries
  2. vs CIN, 2024-10-20: 0, missed, 2 carries
  3. at JAX, 2026-09-13: 38, cleared, 6 carries
  4. at TB, 2026-09-20: 22, missed, 7 carries
  5. vs CAR, 2026-09-27: 45, cleared, 11 carries
  6. vs PIT, 2026-10-01: 22, missed, 7 carries
  7. at NYJ, 2026-10-11: 40, cleared, 6 carries
  8. vs BAL, 2026-10-18: 29, cleared, 8 carries
  9. at TEN, 2026-10-25: 19, missed, 3 carries
  10. at PIT, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 3 carries
ClearedMissedThe 23.5 lineCarries

Splits

Over 23.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 23.5

Average
23.4
−0.1 vs line
Median
22
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
—
2 pick'em apps, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries
5.7
10 games · 4.4 in 2024

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 2 pick'em apps (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only4/10
Compare 2 pick'em apps at 23.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 23.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 23.5Under 23.5
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:17 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

23.5

22.5 → 23.5 since we started recording it

Deshaun Watson's full game log and splits