Derrick Henry
LAC @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 8:15 PMGame log against Over 5.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
What's different on Monday
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pickMonQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Injured Reserve (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 9 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Injured Reserve, toe); Joe Fagnano 2 (led the last game). Over 5.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 20 of 28; with another BAL quarterback: 3 of 7
Defense vs running backs
LAC allow 21.5 receiving yards a game to running backs: 27th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 1.7 targets · 2026: 1.8 (8 games)
Target share: 6% last 3 games · 6% over 8 games this season
Rest
10 days off since Nov 5 vs JAX
Henry sat the last game (Nov 5)
Splits
Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 8.3
- +2.8 vs line
- Median
- 6.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 1.7
- 10 games · 1.6 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1362 books | −1141 book | 6/10 | |
| −1144 books | −1153 books | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1604 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +2701 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +4301 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +6401 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet15 min ago | −113Best | — |
| betPARX15 min ago | −113Best | −115 |
| BetRivers15 min ago | −114 | −117 |
| FanDuel15 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
Prices as of 6:22 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5No move since first seen


