Dawson Knox
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 7.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 7.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Monday
Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Josh Allen led BUF in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 7.5 with Allen at quarterback: 30 of 46; with another BUF quarterback: 1 of 1
Defense vs tight ends
MIN allow 39.0 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 29th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 2 targets · 2026: 1.7 (7 games)
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 6% over 7 games this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL
Splits
Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 7.5
- Average
- 12.8
- +5.3 vs line
- Median
- 6.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.2
- 10 games · 3.2 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1821 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 4/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 | |
| +1181 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +2001 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +3201 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +5201 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 7.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
7.5No move since first seen