Daniel Jones

Indianapolis Colts · QB · #17

MIA @ IND · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under7.5

Over 7.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1202 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 7.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at JAX, 2025-12-07: 4, missed, 1 carries
vs BAL, 2026-09-13: 4, missed, 1 carries
at KC, 2026-09-20: 10, cleared, 3 carries
vs HOU, 2026-09-27: 5, missed, 3 carries
at WSH, 2026-10-04: 2, missed, 4 carries
at PIT, 2026-10-11: 4, missed, 3 carries
vs TEN, 2026-10-18: 30, cleared, 3 carries
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 13, cleared, 4 carries
at JAX, 2026-11-01: 7, missed, 4 carries
vs DAL, 2026-11-08: 11, cleared, 3 carries

ClearedMissedThe 7.5 lineCarries

What's different on Sunday

Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
MIA allow 7.4 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 29th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 3.7 carries · 2026: 3.1 (9 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DAL
Game lines
IND −4 · total 38.5 (6 sportsbooks)
IND's games this season closed at 45.4 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 7.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs MIA

Rushing Yards: 26 in 7 carries, Sep 7, 2025 (home)

Over 7.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 7.5

Average: 9; +1.5 vs line
Median: 6; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Carries: 2.9; 10 games · 3.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1202 books	−1082 books	4/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
FanDuel15 min ago	−120Best	−108Best
Pinnacle15 min ago	−120Best	−108Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:22 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

No move since first seen