Dalton Schultz

Houston Texans · TE · #86

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Receptions, typical price −1682 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
C.J. Stroud led HOU in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 3.5 with Stroud at quarterback: 23 of 48; with another HOU quarterback: 5 of 7
Defense vs tight ends
LAC allow 4.4 receptions a game to tight ends: 27th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.3 targets · 2026: 6.1 (7 games)
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 17% over 7 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

vs IND, 2026-01-04: 4, cleared, 4 targets
at PIT, 2026-01-12: 3, missed, 4 targets
at NE, 2026-01-18: 2, missed, 2 targets
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 4, cleared, 8 targets
vs CIN, 2026-09-20: 12, cleared, 14 targets
at IND, 2026-09-27: 3, missed, 3 targets
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 2, missed, 2 targets
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 3, missed, 4 targets
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 4, cleared, 6 targets
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 6 targets

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Receptions: 3 in 4 targets, Dec 27, 2025 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 4.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 3.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −168
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Targets: 5.3; 10 games · 5.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 59%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−18001 book	—	10/10
−4201 book	—	8/10
−1682 books	+1272 books	5/10
+1321 book	—	2/10
+2601 book	—	1/10
+4901 book	—	1/10
+8801 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−166Best	+124
Bovada4 min ago	−170	+130Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

−166 → −168 since first seen