Dalton Schultz

Houston Texans · TE · #86

HOU @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under31.5

Over 31.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 31.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at PIT, 2026-01-12: 12, missed, 4 targets
at NE, 2026-01-18: 47, cleared, 2 targets
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 35, cleared, 8 targets
vs CIN, 2026-09-20: 140, cleared, 14 targets
at IND, 2026-09-27: 30, missed, 3 targets
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 9, missed, 2 targets
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 30, missed, 4 targets
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 33, cleared, 6 targets
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 45, cleared, 6 targets
at LAC, 2026-11-08: 42, cleared, 4 targets

ClearedMissedThe 31.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–93.8 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 31.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
C.J. Stroud led HOU in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 31.5 with Stroud at quarterback: 26 of 48; with another HOU quarterback: 5 of 7
Defense vs tight ends
CLE allow 57.8 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 11th most of 32
9 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.3 targets · 2026: 5.9 (8 games)
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 17% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at LAC

Splits

Over 31.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CLE in his last 10; Over 31.5 cleared in 2 of 2 against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CLE

Receiving Yards: 37 in 2 targets, Jan 13, 2024 (home)

Over 31.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against CLE on record

L10 · Over 31.5

Average: 42.3; +10.8 vs line
Median: 34; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1861 book	—	8/10
−1324 books	—	8/10
−1142 books	−1142 books	6/10
−1154 books	−1153 books	6/10
+1454 books	—	4/10
+2554 books	—	1/10
+4404 books	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 31.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 31.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 31.5	Under 31.5
Bally Bet1 min ago	−114Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
BetRivers1 min ago	−115	−115
Bovada1 min ago	−115	−115
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

31.5

29.5 → 31.5 since first seen