Dalton Schultz

Houston Texans · TE · #86

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM

Over Under34.5

Over 34.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 34.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
C.J. Stroud led HOU in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 34.5 with Stroud at quarterback: 21 of 48; with another HOU quarterback: 5 of 7
Defense vs tight ends
LAC allow 52.4 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 16th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.3 targets · 2026: 6.1 (7 games)
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 17% over 7 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG

50%5 of 10L10

Over 34.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

vs IND, 2026-01-04: 73, cleared, 4 targets
at PIT, 2026-01-12: 12, missed, 4 targets
at NE, 2026-01-18: 47, cleared, 2 targets
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 35, cleared, 8 targets
vs CIN, 2026-09-20: 140, cleared, 14 targets
at IND, 2026-09-27: 30, missed, 3 targets
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 9, missed, 2 targets
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 30, missed, 4 targets
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 33, missed, 6 targets
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 45, cleared, 6 targets

ClearedMissedThe 34.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–98 receiving yards.

Splits

Over 34.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 34.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Receiving Yards: 19 in 4 targets, Dec 27, 2025 (away)

Over 34.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 34.5

Average: 45.4; +10.9 vs line
Median: 34; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 51%; estimate · fair −103

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −103, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3901 book	—	8/10
−2501 book	—	8/10
−1661 book	—	8/10
−1143 books	−1143 books	5/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/10
+1201 book	—	4/10
+2101 book	—	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 34.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 34.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 34.5	Under 34.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle5 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Bovada5 min ago	−115	−115
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

34.5

35.5 → 34.5 since first seen