Dalton KincaidQuestionable
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 44.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 44.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Monday
Over 44.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Josh Allen led BUF in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 44.5 with Allen at quarterback: 19 of 46; with another BUF quarterback: 1 of 1
Defense vs tight ends
MIN allow 39.0 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 29th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.3 targets · 2026: 5 (7 games)
Target share: 19% last 3 games · 17% over 7 games this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL
Splits
Over 44.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 44.5
- Average
- 56
- +11.5 vs line
- Median
- 43
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 4.9
- 10 games · 4.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 44.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2654 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1374 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1153 books | −1142 books | 5/10 | |
| −1153 books | −1143 books | 5/10 | |
| +1254 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2004 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +3104 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 44.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 44.5 | Under 44.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel8 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bovada8 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Pinnacle9 min ago | −116 | −114Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:52 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
44.546.5 → 44.5 since first seen