Dak Prescott
DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 33.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 33.5 Passing Attempts cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 23.6–47.2 passing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Over 33.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
IND allow 28.8 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 28th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 36.7 attempts · 2026: 37.8 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ARI
Game lines
DAL −5.5 · total 51.5 (7 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 50.5 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 33.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 33.5
- Average
- 35
- +1.5 vs line
- Median
- 35.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −129
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 55%
- estimate · fair −123
Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −123, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −7703 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −3753 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2153 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1294 books | −1123 books | 6/10 | |
| +1233 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +1853 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2753 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 33.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 33.5 | Under 33.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada8 min ago | −125Best | −105Best |
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −129 | — |
| betPARX8 min ago | −129 | −112 |
| BetRivers8 min ago | −129 | −112 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
33.5−120 → −129 since first seen