Dak Prescott
DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PMGame log against Over 33.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 33.5 Passing Attempts cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 23.6–47.2 passing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Over 33.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
IND allow 28.8 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 28th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 36.7 attempts · 2026: 37.8 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ARI
Game lines
DAL −5.5 · total 51.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 50.5 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 33.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 33.5
- Average
- 35
- +1.5 vs line
- Median
- 35.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 55%
- estimate · fair −121
Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −121, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −7153 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −3603 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2053 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1255 books | −1154 books | 6/10 | |
| +1253 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +1883 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2753 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 33.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 33.5 | Under 33.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle2 min ago | −108Best | −122 |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −125 | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −125 | −115 |
| Bovada2 min ago | −125 | −105Best |
| betPARX1 min ago | −129 | −113 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
33.5−120 → −125 since first seen


