Dak Prescott
DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Under 269.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 269.5 Pass+Rush Yards hit in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 182.9–324.1 pass+rush yards.
What's different on Sunday
Under 269.5 · facts from past games, not a pickPass attempts + carries
Last 3: 40.3 attempts + carries · 2026: 40.6 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ARI
Game lines
DAL −5.5 · total 51.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 50.5 on average (8 games)
IND injuries
Akeem Davis-Gaither (LB, Questionable, 7.5 tackles); Justin Walley (CB, Questionable, 5 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)
Splits
Under 269.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 269.5
- Average
- 254.7
- −14.8 vs line
- Median
- 280
- +10.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 55%
- estimate · fair −120
Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −120, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1953 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1153 books | −1252 books | 5/10 | |
| — | — | 5/10 | |
| −1034 books | −1151 book | 5/10 | |
| +1753 books | — | 6/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 269.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 269.5 | Under 269.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX6 min ago | −115Best | −125Best |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −115Best | −125Best |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −115Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
269.5274.5 → 269.5 since first seen