Dak Prescott

Dallas Cowboys · QB · #4

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under22.5

Over 22.5 Completions, typical price −1125 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 22.5 Completions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).

at WSH, 2025-12-25: 19, missed, 37 attempts
at NYG, 2026-01-04: 7, missed, 11 attempts
at NYG, 2026-09-13: 22, missed, 34 attempts
vs WSH, 2026-09-20: 26, cleared, 31 attempts
vs BAL, 2026-09-27: 25, cleared, 40 attempts
at HOU, 2026-10-04: 32, cleared, 45 attempts
vs TB, 2026-10-08: 24, cleared, 42 attempts
at GB, 2026-10-18: 34, cleared, 54 attempts
at PHI, 2026-10-26: 15, missed, 27 attempts
vs ARI, 2026-11-01: 19, missed, 29 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 22.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 15–31.1 completions.

What's different on Sunday

Over 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs quarterbacks
IND allow 17.6 completions a game to quarterbacks: 31st most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 36.7 attempts · 2026: 37.8 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ARI
Game lines
DAL −5.5 · total 51.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 50.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 22.5

Average: 22.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 23; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 53%; estimate · fair −114

Research, not a pick. At −112 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −114, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9103 books	—	8/10
−3603 books	—	6/10
−1573 books	—	6/10
−1125 books	−1143 books	5/10
+1253 books	—	5/10
+2303 books	—	3/10
+4103 books	—	2/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 22.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Completions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 22.5	Under 22.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−112Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−112Best	−130
BetRivers5 min ago	−112Best	—
Pinnacle5 min ago	−114	−114
Bovada5 min ago	−130	+100Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:43 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

Over: −125 → −112 since first seen