D'Andre Swift

Chicago Bears · RB · #4

TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price −1902 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Over 0.5 with Williams at quarterback: 19 of 40; with another CHI quarterback: 1 of 3
Carries + targets
Last 3: 25.7 carries + targets · 2026: 21.4 (8 games)
Target share: 12% last 3 games · 10% over 8 games this season
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA
Game lines
CHI −6 · total 47.5 (7 sportsbooks)
CHI's games this season closed at 46.8 on average (8 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).

vs GB, 2026-01-10: 1, cleared, 15 carries + targets
vs LAR, 2026-01-18: 0, missed, 19 carries + targets
at CAR, 2026-09-13: 3, cleared, 19 carries + targets
vs MIN, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 21 carries + targets
vs PHI, 2026-09-28: 0, missed, 23 carries + targets
vs NYJ, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 17 carries + targets
at GB, 2026-10-11: 1, cleared, 14 carries + targets
at ATL, 2026-10-18: 2, cleared, 21 carries + targets
vs NE, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 26 carries + targets
at SEA, 2026-11-02: 3, cleared, 30 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs TB

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 14 carries + targets, Jan 15, 2024 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against TB on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 66%; at −190
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 20.5; 10 games · 16.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1902 books	pick'em only	6/10
+2952 books	—	3/10
+14001 book	—	2/10
+75001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bovada4 min ago	−186Best	—
FanDuel4 min ago	−195	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen